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To reverse a decade of weakening overall factor efficiency, local labour market policy is shifting from basic task development to handling active workforce transitions. Governments and employers are scaling short, modular training programmes and micro-credentials in data analytics and digital operations to equip workers for emerging functions. Workplace-based knowing and apprenticeship-style paths are ending up being more typical as companies integrate AI tools into day-to-day workflows.
With oil costs forecasted to typical $55-60 per barrel in 2026, local governments are magnifying their focus on expenditure discipline and private capital mobilisation. Fiscal policy is rotating towards the monetisation of state-owned assets in logistics, energies, and desalination to reroute funds toward higher-impact investments. While borrowing through sukuk and sustainability-linked bonds is expected to increase to fund tactical deficits, the focus stays on enhancing non-oil earnings frameworks.
PwC Middle East economic policy and method partner Jing Teow said: "Having already mobilised capital and policy at scale, GCC federal governments are now focused on shipment. In 2026, the concern is strengthening economic resilience through more safe trade and investment relationships, reliable AI release, handled workforce transitions and disciplined fiscal policy in a more difficult and fragmented global environment.".

Saudi Arabia and UAE are poised to lead the Gulf area's financial expansion in 2026, supported by strong private-sector performance, resistant domestic need and renewed financial investment momentum, according to the current ICAEW Economic Insight Q4 2025 report, produced by Oxford Economics. The GCC is expected to exceed most international regions peers next year, with local GDP forecast to grow by 4.4%. Across the GCC, non-energy activity is projected to broaden by 4.1% in 2026, driven by strong labour markets, enhancing credit conditions and increasing investment in innovation and AI-related facilities.
Oil profits will be under pressure in the very first half of 2026, production is anticipated to increase again in the 2nd half of 2026, supporting the region's medium-term outlook, it stated. Saudi Arabia will stay a major factor to GCC momentum, with GDP forecast to grow 4.3% in 2026.

Development will be supported by industrial growth and policy reforms, including alleviated foreign ownership guidelines that intend to stimulate additional financial investment. The fiscal deficit is predicted to expand to 5.6% of GDP next year in the middle of softer oil costs, while the recent five-year lease freeze in Riyadh aims to reduce inflationary pressures, though it might constrain future housing supply.
Strong domestic fundamentalsThe UAE is likewise positioned for another strong year of performance, with GDP forecast to increase 5.6% in 2026 as non-oil sectors continue to broaden. Tourist, trade and monetary services stay key growth motorists, supported by population development and sustained domestic demand. Dubai's economy grew 4.4% in the very first half of 2025, showing broad-based non-oil strength.

Oil production is expected to get again in the second half of 2026, complementing continuous financial investment in facilities, technology and global trade collaborations. Hanadi Khalife, the Head of Middle East, ICAEW, said: "This quarter's outlook strengthens how far the GCC has can be found in structure varied, resilient and worldwide competitive economies.
Crucial Middle East Market Research Insights in 2026Scott Livermore, ICAEW Economic Advisor, and Chief Economist and Managing Director, Oxford Economics Middle East, stated: "Saudi Arabia and the UAE are entering 2026 with strong structures. Saudi non-oil activity is getting pace, supported by robust demand and increasing investment, even as fiscal pressures increase.""The UAE continues to take advantage of strong domestic principles, a sharp uplift in federal government spending and continual diversity efforts.
What differentiates 2026 from preceding years is not just the acceleration of technological modification, though that acceleration is genuine, but rather an essential shift in how enterprises envisage their GCCs' purpose. The is expected to grow to 4 hundred thirteen billion dollars by 2040, but this growth masks a more profound improvement.
Instead, they ask whether these centers drive development, own profit-and-loss responsibility, and add to competitive differentiation. In 2026, the most effective GCCs will act like internal start-ups, nimble, cross-functional, insight-driven, and deeply aligned with global company results. This shift from execution to ownership represents maybe the single most substantial strategic recalibration in the GCC design's advancement.
Today, we're convening more than 3000 meetings between financiers and 119 Gulf-listed companies with a combined value of $2.4 trillion at the HSBC GCC Exchanges Conference 2026, in London. We're uniting investors, companies, exchanges, and policymakers to discuss what is changing in the region, and what comes next, including the growth and continuous advancement of the Gulf's capital markets, and the region's growing function in international networks of capital and trade.
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