Will Market Research Define Dubai Industrial Growth?

Instead of marking a cyclical rebound, 2026 is progressively deemed a debt consolidation year, in which diversification-led growth becomes more deeply embedded in the area's economic design, lowering dependence on hydrocarbons and increasing strength to external shocks. Projections from significant institutions broadly assemble on a stronger GCC growth profile in 2026 than in 2025, supported by resistant domestic demand, continued non-oil growth, and (to differing degrees) a firmer hydrocarbon contribution.

ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+

3.2 percent development in 2025, speeding up to 4.5 percent in 2026. Sees momentum improving, with GCC output development predicted to rise from 1.7 percent in 2024 to 3.3 percent on average in 2025, reflecting a shift towards more positive overall conditions.

The IMF's World Economic Outlook (October 2025) projects international growth reducing to 3.1 percent in 2026, with advanced economies around 1.5 percent and emerging market and establishing economies simply above 4 percent. On that contrast, a 4.44.5 percent GCC expansion would position the region materially ahead of the world average and slightly above (or broadly in line with) the emerging-market aggregate, reinforcing the GCC's status as a fairly high-growth pocketprovided that regional risk conditions remain included and reform momentum holds.

Information from the GCC Statistical Center show that non-oil sectors currently represent more than 73 percent of overall GDP, a share that has continued to rise as governments broaden investment in services, infrastructure, and innovation. According to Oxford Economics, non-energy activity across the GCC is predicted to grow by around 4.1 percent in 2026, supported by strong labor markets, enhancing credit conditions, and increasing financial investment in innovation and AI-related facilities.

ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+

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Public-sector financial investment and reform stay central to sustaining this trend. Policy procedures targeted at drawing in foreign direct financial investment, easing foreign ownership guidelines, broadening capital markets, and supporting private-sector participation continue to underpin non-oil growth and reduce the region's direct exposure to oil price volatility. While hydrocarbons no longer dominate the development outlook, oil incomes are anticipated to play a helpful function in 2026.

Oxford Economics anticipates Brent crude rates to fall below USD 60 per barrel in early 2026, restricting the near-term contribution of oil extraction to GDP. However, oil supply is forecast to increase once again in the 2nd half of the year, with a full unwinding of staying production caps most likely by mid-2027.

ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+

Macroeconomic conditions throughout the GCC remain broadly encouraging of growth. Inflation is expected to remain low, with the IMF forecasting typical inflation of 2 percent across the area in 2026. Stable rates are helping protect real home earnings and underpin consumer costs, which Oxford Economics anticipates to grow by an average of 3.5 percent over 20262027.